Friendly reminder: the deadline for abstract submission to this session
is 16 September 2011. Please follow the link below.
Dear colleagues, [sorry for cross-posting]
I want to bring the following session at the "Planet under Pressure
2012" conference in March 2012 in London to your attention. Please
submit abstracts by 16 September 2011 with special reference to this
session (#0317). We are planning a special issue after the conference.
The focus should be on global, model-based assessments until 2050.
Pressures on agriculture from increased bioenergy demand and biospheric
Hermann Lotze-Campen, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Alexander Popp, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Germany
Michael Obersteiner, International Institute for Applied Systems
Analysis (IIASA), Austria
John Antle, Oregon State University, USA
Martin Maerkl, Bayer Crop Science, Germany
Climate change mitigation requires a fundamental transformation of the
energy system and new approaches to biospheric carbon management. In
most scenarios on ambitious mitigation targets, bioenergy plays an
important role. However, a strong increase in future bioenergy demand
may put serious pressure on agricultural systems. Depending on specific
biomass conversion technologies, bioenergy will compete for feedstocks
with livestock production, and more generally it will compete for land
and water resources with food production. Options for reducing pressures
on agriculture include further expansion of agricultural land and
irrigation, increasing international trade, and improving agricultural
productivity through technological change.
Model-based assessments of future scenarios can show, how serious the
pressure on agriculture will be; what are the trade-offs between climate
change mitigation, food and water security, forest conservation, and
other ecosystem services; and how different options for reducing these
pressures may interact. While there are various models available for
global assessments of the interplay between climate change, agriculture,
bioenergy and forest conservation, they follow different modeling
paradigms and have a different coverage of exogenous and endogenous factors.
This session aims at starting a model comparison exercise on future
scenarios of agriculture and biospheric carbon management until the year
2050. Different modeling groups are invited to contribute their latest
research, leading to a special issue in a high-ranking journal after the
Target audience are researchers and policy-makers interested in setting
the right incentives for reducing future pressures on agriculture and
land use from increased bioenergy demand.
Dr. Hermann Lotze-Campen
Potsdam-Institut fuer Klimafolgenforschung (PIK)
Postfach 60 12 03 -- 14412 Potsdam -- Germany
Tel: +49-331-288-2699 / Fax: -2640 www.pik-potsdam.de/~hlotze